Pakistan v England Test Series

England look to maintain their number one status in the test arena when they take on Pakistan in Dubai.

Injuries to their bowling attack has made the waters a little muddy.  Unlike the rest of test match cricket played around the globe there is a strong draw bias in the UAE and that has to be the first place you look when considering getting involved with any series trading.

Currently the draw is on offer at 3.60 on Betfair for a drawn series and that could be a touch of value from a punting point of view.

Many leading pundits are predicting a tough start for England, but we know they have enough in their locker to grind out a result if needed.

Trading is all about timing!

When it comes to trading the markets you’re not looking to predict the outcome, but you’re on the lookout to get the best risk v reward opportunity in the market. From a trading point of view backing at 3.60 with a view of trading out lower doesn’t offer that opportunity.

Successful trading is all about timing and we think at some point that price of the draw in the series will trade close to 5.0 if not above.  You could make a case for laying the draw and then backing at the higher price, but we feel the draw could trade lower than 3.0 at some point as well. The problem we have here is knowing which one will hit first and for that reason it makes sense to sit and wait for the opportunity to present itself.

Suggested Trading Positions

• Position One – Back the Drawn Series at 5.0 or above with a stop loss at 8.0, look to trade out at current 3.60 price.
• Position Two – Lay the Drawn Series at 2.80 or below witha stop loss at 2.30, look to trade out at current 3.60 price.

We will be looking to either position at some point during the first two days of the opening test, at some point a team will get on top and that should give us the opportunity to open a position in the market.

Gareth Notton’s Bets

Before Christmas regular X-Trader Gareth Notton suggested the following bets on the X-Traders Guide podcast.

1. England Top Series Batsman – Andrew Strauss 6.0 with Bet Victor & Ian Bell 6.50 generally available.
2. Pakistan Top Series Batsman – Younis Khan 4.50 generally available.
3. England Top Wicket Taker – Graeme Swann 3.0 generally available.
4. Pakistan Top Wicket Taker – Sajeed Ajmaa 3.25 generally available.

Gareth also thinks that Pakistan are excellent value at 4.10 for the first test and Pro Trader Tip thinks  they could certainly trade lower during the first days play.

Trade with the X-Traders

The X-Traders at Pro X Trading will be trading this series in the main trading room, if you would like to do the same then join the ‘Exchange Club’